Introduction

The question of whether the European Union (EU) can recover from Brexit is complex and multifaceted. The departure of the UK has not only been a significant political event but also a challenge for the unity and stability of the EU. Can the EU recover, and would acting with the UK make a difference? This article delves into these questions and explores the future of the EU in the post-Brexit era.

The Impact of Brexit on the EU

The EU alone cannot recover from Brexit without the UK. However, acting in concert with the UK, it is possible that the recovery could be more robust. The UK's exit has had a profound impact, diminishing the EU's ability to address its challenges effectively. The difficulty lies in the fact that the UK must now comply with the Copenhagen criteria if it wishes to reintegrate.

Invoking Article 49 TEU

One avenue for potential recovery is through Article 49 TEU (Treaty on European Union). This article allows a country to apply for membership if it meets the criteria. However, this process is fraught with complexities. The UK would need to undergo negotiations and comply with the Copenhagen criteria, which include political stability, a functioning market economy, and the rule of law. Failure to meet these criteria could result in the EU rejecting the UK's application, as seen with Turkey's ongoing membership process since 1999.

Is the EU Dependent on the UK?

Some argue that the EU does not need the UK. Germany alone has demonstrated its capability to handle the financial support for other member states such as Greece, Portugal, and Spain. Additionally, Germany is the world's second-largest exporter, outperforming the US in this regard. The absence of the UK does not significantly impact the economic landscape of the EU.

Brexit as a Result of Xenophobia

The question of whether the EU can recover from Brexit also brings to light the underlying issues of xenophobia and nationalism within the UK. The Brexit vote was influenced by a deep-seated xenophobia that has become the Achilles heel of the British political system. Prime Minister Johnson and pro-Brexit leaders have employed diversionary tactics, blaming the EU for their mistakes. However, the reality is that the EU is committed to addressing its challenges and promoting unity.

The Future of the EU

While Brexit has had a significant impact, it is not the only challenge facing the EU. In the next few years, new countries are likely to join the union, such as Bulgaria and Croatia. Additionally, Albania and North Macedonia are expected to initiate their membership processes. These developments suggest that the EU will continue to evolve and adapt. The recoverability of the EU from Brexit depends on its ability to address internal challenges and maintain its unity.

Who Benefits More from Brexit?

A more pertinent question might be: Who will benefit more from Brexit - the UK or the EU? The answer to this question remains elusive. The UK will undoubtedly need to recover economically, but the EU is already recovering from its own internal challenges. The success or failure of the UK outside the EU could provide a counterpoint to the belief that Europe is stronger together. It could also highlight the benefits of a country operating with full sovereignty compared to being part of an artificial economic bloc like the Eurozone.

Conclusion

The EU's ability to recover from Brexit is not a simple matter. It depends on the willingness of the UK to work towards reintegration and the EU's own capacity to adapt and address its challenges. While the UK's departure has been a significant blow, the EU's resilience and willingness to evolve suggest that it can recover and continue its journey towards greater unification. The coming years will be crucial in determining the impact of Brexit on the EU and its trajectory towards a more robust and unified future.