The Current Estimate of Undocumented Immigrants in the United States

The topic of undocumented immigrants remains a contentious issue in the United States. Despite the lack of definitive numbers, the estimates and the data points gathered provide insights into the extent of the undocumented immigrant population. This article aims to shed light on the current estimates, sources, and the cost implications associated with this population.

Estimations and Data Sources

Estimates for the number of undocumented immigrants in the United States have fluctuated over time, leading to a wide range of figures. As of 2020, it was estimated that there could be between 20 and 40 million undocumented immigrants in the country. This estimate is based on observations that an additional 20 million undocumented immigrants have entered the country since 2021, with a steady influx of around 5 million per year.

These estimates are further supported by data from various sources. According to the Migration Policy Institute, a research organization, the number of undocumented immigrants was estimated at 11.2 million as of mid-2021. However, this data shows a two-year lag, which makes it less reflective of the current situation. The Department of Homeland Security's Office of Homeland Security Statistics indicates that about 3.1 million migrants crossed the U.S.-Mexico border from February 2021 to September 2023, with no confirmed departure, and an additional 357,000 people entered the U.S. through parole and refugee programs.

Cost Implications and Controversies

The presence of these undocumented immigrants has significant financial implications. Each undocumented immigrant is estimated to cost taxpayers between $35,000 and $50,000 annually due to borrowed debt. This means that the lowest estimate of the annual cost is approximately $1.4 trillion, while the highest estimate could be as high as $3 trillion.

Considering the historical context, it is estimated that the undocumented immigrant population in the U.S. has grown significantly since President Reagan's amnesty program. Prior to the acceptance of undocumented immigrants under the current administration, the population was around 13.5 million. Therefore, a wild guess would place the current number of undocumented immigrants at around 20 million.

Conclusion

The accurate estimate of the undocumented immigrant population in the United States is an ongoing debate. While the exact numbers remain uncertain, the significant increase in recent years, coupled with the substantial financial costs, warrants attention and further research. Understanding the current situation can help policymakers and stakeholders develop more effective strategies and solutions to address this complex issue.