The Future of Jobs: What Will Become Obsolete and New Careers in 15 Years

As we stand at the threshold of the next 15 years, it is becoming increasingly evident that the job market is undergoing significant transformations. While some occupations will become obsolete, other emerging roles will bring new opportunities. Understanding these changes is crucial for both businesses and individuals looking to stay ahead in the evolving job landscape.

Obsolescence of Traditional Jobs

One of the most notable changes will be the obsolescence of jobs traditionally associated with cash transactions. Cashiers, for instance, are likely to become obsolete as cash and debit card usage diminishes. Traditional retailers that depend solely on cash will need to adapt to survive in the digital age. Online ticket makers and automated booking systems will take over, but they will require a new breed of workers skilled in operating and maintaining these technologies. This shift necessitates a shift in the skill sets required in various sectors, including service and hospitality.

Emerging Roles in Robotics and AI

As robotics and artificial intelligence (AI) advance, new jobs will emerge in related fields. Food ordering through robots, for example, will become a reality with more companies investing in automation. These roles will include robotics researchers, engineers, and support staff. In manufacturing plants, robots will handle repetitive and dangerous tasks, freeing up human workers to focus on skilled labor and maintenance of AI systems.

E-commerce and transit options will also see a significant shift with the integration of robotics. Online ticket booking systems will make transportation options more accessible and efficient. However, these changes will require employees to possess a strong foundation in software and AI, as they will be needed to operate and optimize these systems.

Agriculture and Financial Services

The agricultural sector is also set to experience significant changes with the advent of farming robots. Tasks such as planting seeds and managing fields will be automated, but jobs in organizations adopting these technologies will remain. Individuals who can adapt to working with agricultural robotics will secure employment, while those who do not will face a more challenging job market. Similarly, in the banking sector, staff will be reduced as cash deposits are automated. However, learning and mastering the machines that replace manual tasks will be essential for retaining jobs.

Adapting to the Evolving Job Market

Given the rapid pace of change, it is imperative for individuals to stay informed about new technologies and their implications. About three decades ago, my uncle warned that jobs associated with emerging technologies often have a transient nature. He and my father believed in the reliability and long-term value of traditional craftsmanship and scientific expertise. Although they were correct in their prediction, the future remains unpredictable.

It is crucial for businesses and the education system to prepare the next generation for a world dominated by robotics, AI, and machine learning. Youth need to embrace learning and practical experience in these areas, rather than relying solely on traditional degrees. Investors and entrepreneurs will play a vital role in shaping the future labor market, and those who can adapt and leverage new technologies will be well-positioned for success.

As we move forward, it is essential to embrace these changes proactively. Sturgeon's Law, which posits that 90% of everything is crap, applies not only to the quality of work but also to the longevity of jobs. Keeping abreast of technological advancements and their impact on job roles will be key to navigating the complex and rapidly changing job market.