The UK’s Bold 2035 Ban: Is It Feasible or Just Political Posturing?

The UK has announced a ambitious target to completely ban the manufacture of all non-electric cars by 2035. But how realistic is this pledge, especially given that only a meager 1.5 percent of new cars sold today are electric?

How Difficult is This?

The ban has been termed as a do-nothing target by some. Politicians, it seems, are merely adding another item to their to-do list, one that arguably does little to curb the climate crisis.

However, the date of the ban has since been corrected to 2030, not 2035. This adjustment brings a different perspective to the matter. In reality, 2030 is only about 10 years away, and this gives the UK an ample time to achieve the goal.

The Rise of Electric Vehicles

The picture of an electric vehicle (EV) revolution in the UK is brighter than it might appear. The 2019 figures show a significant growth in BEV (Battery Electric Vehicle) sales. By December, it was clear that EV sales were booming. Experts argue that within 15 years, making the transition to all-electric cars will not be a monumental task.

Challenges and Solutions

Several challenges emerge with increased EV adoption, including the supply of raw materials for battery production and the need for widespread charging infrastructure. However, these challenges are not insurmountable.

Firstly, the rising popularity of EVs means that the market is already driving down costs and enhancing the variety of available options. Considering that EV sales have doubled every two years, achieving a 50% market share by 2035 seems feasible.

Several key points can help in achieving the 2030 target:

Continuous Growth in EV Sales: As mentioned, EV sales are growing at a rapid pace. Doubling the current rate to 3 percent in 2022, 6 percent in 2024, 12 percent in 2026, and 24 percent in 2028 is a plausible target. This trend ensures that a significant portion of new car buyers will be confident in the long-term viability of EV technology. Charging Infrastructure: Business incentives and increased investment in charging stations are crucial. By 2030, the expectation is to see a widespread network of charging points, making EV ownership more convenient and reliable. Second-Hand Market: As more EVs hit the second-hand market, their appeal will grow. This segmentation of the market can help bridge the gap between new and old car buyers.

The Impact of the Ban on Other Industries

The ban on the sale and import of non-electric cars by 2030 will have a significant impact on the automotive industry. It will also affect other sectors such as automotive manufacturing and retail. However, the transition should not be viewed as catastrophic.

For instance, Top Gear, the popular car review show, may struggle in its current format. The departure of Jeremy Clarkson may compound the challenges the show faces. But it's likely that a new format can emerge that embraces EV technology.

Final Thoughts

Despite the challenges, the 2030 ban on non-electric cars seems achievable within a decade. The UK has the opportunity to lead the European Union in this transition. While there will be hurdles to overcome, the determination and resources available suggest that the goal is well within reach.

The transition will demand investment in infrastructure and technological advancements. However, the environmental benefits of this transition far outweigh the costs. The ban is not just political posturing; it is a practical step towards a sustainable future.