Unexpected Consequences of Brexit: Factual Insights and Misconceptions

Introduction

With the United Kingdom's departure from the European Union (Brexit) on January 31, 2020, many voters anticipated sweeping changes. One year later, one might wonder what impact this significant political shift has had on various facets of British society and if the outcomes align with initial expectations. While some argued for a healthier vaccination process and a more competitive job market for the low paid, others anticipated border control challenges and an influx of illegal immigrants. This article delves into the most curious and unexpected consequences of Brexit, exploring them with factual insights and misconceptions.

1. Independent Vaccination Process

Supporters of Brexit argued that leaving the EU would lead to a more effective and independent vaccination process. However, the reality suggests a different narrative. The UK postponed its departure until December 31, 2020, allowing it to follow EU guidelines and policies until then. As a result, the vaccination program in the UK was initially linked to EU regulations. Therefore, any improvements in the vaccination process cannot be attributed solely to Brexit.

2. Competitive Job Market

Another advantage emphasized was a more competitive job market for low-paid workers. Indeed, the Brexit vote was partly driven by concerns over the high number of EU workers and their impact on wages and employment. Post-Brexit, the UK has seen a tightening of immigration rules, leading to a more competitive job market for low-paid workers. However, this change has also led to issues such as the shortage of seasonal agricultural workers, causing a decline in crop yields.

3. Border Control and Immigration

Post-Brexit, one of the most anticipated outcomes was the increase in illegal immigration. The UK no longer has obligations to protect its borders or promote regular immigration channels, leading to the potential influx of illegal immigrants. According to the Overseas Development Institute, the UK’s unemployment rate is expected to rise due to a severe labor shortage, exacerbated by the limited number of work visas for EU nationals. This has led to a situation where thousands of people, ineligible for work permits, are turning up on beaches, seeking asylum, without the ability to contribute economically.

4. European Union Demise and Replacement

There are misconceptions about the EU’s role in the UK’s departure and its future. Some Brexit supporters anticipated a stronger pro-EU movement within the UK. Interestingly, data shows that anti-EU sentiments have only intensified. Additionally, France no longer has any obligation to protect the UK’s borders, which could lead to more illegal immigration. Moreover, the UK’s decision to leave the Schengen area and not adopt the Euro has been seen as a strategic move to distance itself from the EU.

5. Propaganda and Misinformation

Political leaders often use rhetoric to simplify complex issues. In the case of Brexit, there have been significant claims and counter-claims. For instance, Boris Johnson, the then Prime Minister, was criticized for propagating the idea that his achievements were solely due to Brexit when in reality, most of his accomplishments occurred while EU regulations were still in place. This period saw a focused effort to implement various measures and improve domestic policies, aligning with the general principles of the EU but in a way that suited the UK’s future trajectory.

Conclusion

In summary, while the concept of leaving the EU presented many opportunities, the reality of Brexit has brought about unexpected outcomes. From a public health perspective, the initial linkage to EU regulations has limited the independence of the UK’s vaccination process. The competitive job market for low-paid workers has been further enhanced due to immigration restrictions, but this has created challenges. Concerns over illegal immigration and the need for border control have also emerged, further complicating the Brexit narrative.